Neighborhood · Missoula, MT

South 39th Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 4,369 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10 · range 4.1–4.1

South 39th is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Missoula with 1 census tract and a population of 4,369 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,142/month sits 4% lower than the Missoula citywide average ($1,189).

Risk score

4.1

Moderate

1 tracts · population-weighted

South 39th vs Missoula How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

48.8% +63%

Missoula: 30.0%

Average gross rent

$1,142 -4%

Missoula: $1,189

Average HH income

$68,220 +4%

Missoula: $65,329

Poverty rate

9.8% -23%

Missoula: 12.8%

Renter share

37.8% -29%

Missoula: 53.0%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South 39th and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 4.1–4.1

Why South 39th scores 4.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts

1.7

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts

6.2

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts

8.0

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts

4.0

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Tenant organizing strength

38% renter households · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts

5.5

Economic stress

9.8% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts

2.1

Risk score comparison

South 39th vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in South 39th

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
30063001303	4.1	4,369	49%	$1,142

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 35

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 30%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 32%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 16%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 61%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South 39th

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.8%Housing insecurity
6.0%Utility shutoff threat
10.0%Food insecurity
7.0%SNAP enrollment
8.7%No health insurance
26.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About South 39th

What is the eviction-risk score for South 39th?

South 39th scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does South 39th compare to Missoula overall?

South 39th scores 1.0 points higher than Missoula overall (3.1/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 30% citywide. Average rent: $1,142 vs $1,189.

What is the average rent in South 39th?

Average gross rent in South 39th is $1,142/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of South 39th residents are renters?

38% of South 39th households are renter-occupied (vs 53% in Missoula). The neighborhood has 4,369 residents.

Is South 39th a high social-vulnerability area?

South 39th sits in the 35th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is South 39th for landlords?

South 39th carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Missoula as a whole (3.1/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of South 39th?

South 39th has 4,743 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (86.5%), Other / Multiracial (7.6%), Hispanic / Latino (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South 39th

4.6 Franklin to the Fort 3 tracts · pop 9,289 5.2 University District 2 tracts · pop 6,398 4.2 Northside 2 tracts · pop 11,446

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Missoula

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South 39th.

4.1 Northside 2 tracts · pop 11,446 4.2 Rose Park 1 tracts · pop 3,363 4.3 Mullan Road 1 tracts · pop 7,152 4.5 Riverfront 1 tracts · pop 2,786 4.7 Franklin to the Fort 3 tracts · pop 9,289 4.8 River Road 1 tracts · pop 3,304

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