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Neighborhood · Lincoln, NE

Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 1,971 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5/10 · range 5–5

Downtown maps to a single census tract in Lincoln, NE, population 1,971. Scored across those inputs it reaches 5/10, placing it in the Moderate tier. The severe-burden share is 51%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 60% against 28.9% citywide, putting Downtown 31.4% over its own city. The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 51%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

86% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Well under the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10. At $910 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Lincoln commands.

Court records for this tract carry 143 eviction filings. The worst year on record was 2015, when filings touched 6.1% of renter households.

On the softer side is eviction-process difficulty, at 3/10. The most recent observed rate, 1.6% in 2016, is well off that peak. Among the 72 mapped neighborhoods of Lincoln, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Hyland Park and Hillsdale.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown vs Lincoln How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
60.3% +109%
Lincoln: 28.9%
Average gross rent
$910 -16%
Lincoln: $1,086
Average HH income
$34,286 -51%
Lincoln: $69,991
Poverty rate
51.0% +304%
Lincoln: 12.6%
Renter share
85.5% +95%
Lincoln: 43.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5–5

Why Downtown scores 5

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 1.8–1.8 across tracts
1.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 5.4–5.4 across tracts
5.4
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.0–5.0 across tracts
5.0
Rent control risk
60% of income on rent · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
86% renter households · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.0–3.0 across tracts
3.0
Economic stress
51.0% below poverty line · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts
3.1
Risk score comparison

Downtown vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.0DowntownNeighborhood3.6Parent cityhost city3.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Downtown

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
31109001900 5 1,971 60% $910
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 67%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 0%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 27%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 95%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Downtown

Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 143Total filings (sum)
  • 3.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.1%Peak year (2015)
  • 1.62%Latest filed (2016)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown?

Downtown scores 5/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown compare to Lincoln overall?

Downtown scores 1.4 points higher than Lincoln overall (3.6/10). Renters spend 60% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $910 vs $1,086.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown?

Average gross rent in Downtown is $910/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown residents are renters?

86% of Downtown households are renter-occupied (vs 44% in Lincoln). The neighborhood has 1,971 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Downtown for landlords?

Downtown carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Lincoln as a whole (3.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown?

Downtown has 1,934 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (82.3%), Hispanic / Latino (7.3%), Black (non-Hispanic) (5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Lincoln

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown.

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