Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincoln
Tract 31109001900 · Lancaster County, NE · pop 1,971 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
In Downtown in Lincoln, census tract 31109001900 scores 5.4/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #39,618 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
60% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 51% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $910 a month while the average household earns $34,286 a year, roughly 32% of income at the averages. About 86% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 52%
Stable renters 34%
Owners 14%
Tract context
Occupied units980
Renter share85.5%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate51.0%
Median income$34,286
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
95
th percentile
Very High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincoln and the region
Centroid at 40.8131, -96.7026 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincoln
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
51.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$910 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincoln
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincoln
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincoln
3.0
How Downtown compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 44
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 0%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 9%Grade A
- 24%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 143Total filings over 14 yrs
- 3.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.1%Peak (2015)
- 10Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 14 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.1%Housing insecurity
- 10.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 21.5%Food insecurity
- 18.0%SNAP enrollment
- 13.8%Transit barriers
- 10.7%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 32.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown
The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Lancaster County average of 4.4 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 143 eviction filings here over 14 tracked years, with about 3.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 6.1% of renter households in 2015.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 31109001900
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31109001900?
Census tract 31109001900 in the Downtown neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 31109001900?
Median gross rent is $910/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 31109001900?
51.0% of residents in tract 31109001900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,971.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 31109001900?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 0th, minority 27th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 31109001900 considered part of Downtown?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31109001900 fall within Downtown (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31109001900?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 143 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 31109001900 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.05% of renter households, peaking at 6.1% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 31109001900 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 31109001900 compare to Lincoln overall?
Tract 31109001900 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Lincoln at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincoln eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 31109001900 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincoln
Top eight tracts in Lincoln ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Telegraph District
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Airspace
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Hillsdale
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
North Lincoln
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
Kimco Industrial Park
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · NE
H.J.B. Industrial Park
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · NE
Hyland Park
5.3
/ 10 · Moderate
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