Telegraph District Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes the score up most is economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 49%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

The severe-burden share is 32%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. 89% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. On the softer side is rent-regulation exposure, at 1/10.

Set annual rent against average household income of $28,285 and the ratio lands at 33%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. At $768 a month, rents sit 29% under what the rest of Lincoln commands. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

The filing record is not thin: 541 evictions logged in this tract. Food insecurity affects 28.2% of adults, 10.4 points above the national rate. 14.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

One tract means one number: 5/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.