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Census Tract · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally

Bellevue Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 31153010502 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 4,792 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Bellevue

With a score of 4.5/10, tract 31153010502 in Bellevue, NE reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,792. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.

Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 20% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,814
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$89,302

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#6 of 19 tracts In Bellevue
Elevated
Within county
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 47 tracts In Sarpy County
High
Within state
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
High
National
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#41,206 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellevue and the region

Centroid at 41.1725, -95.9760 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellevue scores 4.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellevue
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,279 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellevue
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellevue
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellevue
2.0

How Bellevue compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellevue risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.5This tracttract 0105023.2Bellevueparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county3.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 195Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2008)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 31153010502
Filings climbed 50% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellevue

Running cool, tenant-organizing strength reads 1.5/10. Against Sarpy County at 37.2%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.8/10.

Severe burden reaches 15%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 195 filings here across 11 tracked years.

Against the Sarpy County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points. The worst year on record was 2008, when 5.0% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Omaha. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

In a typical year about 3.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 51st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $89,302, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010502?

Census tract 31153010502 in Bellevue scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31153010502?

Median gross rent is $1,279/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010502?

14.9% of residents in tract 31153010502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,792.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 63th, minority 57th, housing 15th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 195 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.64% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 31153010502 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 31153010502 compare to Bellevue overall?

Tract 31153010502 scores 4.5/10, higher than the parent city of Bellevue at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellevue eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 31153010502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellevue

Top eight tracts in Bellevue ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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