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Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Bellevue Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 31153010502 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 4,792 · 91% of tract blocks fall in Bellevue

With a score of 3.6/10, tract 31153010502 in Bellevue in Sarpy County ranks in the Lower tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,792 residents. That is riskier than roughly 6% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

29% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 15% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,279 monthly, set against $89,302 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 27% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 20% Owners 72%
Tract context
Occupied units1,814
Renter share27.4%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate14.9%
Median income$89,302

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 19 tracts In Bellevue
High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 47 tracts In Sarpy County
High
Within state
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#354 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Low
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,757 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bellevue and the region

Centroid at 41.1725, -95.9760 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bellevue scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bellevue
2.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
14.9% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,279 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bellevue
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bellevue
1.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bellevue
2.0

How Bellevue compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bellevue risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 010502Bellevue: 2.92.9Bellevueparent cityCounty: 2.02.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 195Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 3.64%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.0%Peak (2008)
  • 21Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311530105022003: 14 filings (3.81/100 renter HHs)2006: 15 filings (2.90/100 renter HHs)2007: 17 filings (3.28/100 renter HHs)2008: 26 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)2009: 14 filings (2.70/100 renter HHs)2010: 24 filings (6.84/100 renter HHs)2011: 15 filings (2.75/100 renter HHs)2012: 14 filings (2.57/100 renter HHs)2013: 23 filings (4.22/100 renter HHs)2015: 12 filings (2.20/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (3.77/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bellevue

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bellevue eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Sarpy County average of 4.1 and in line with the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 48th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 195 eviction filings here over 11 tracked years, with about 3.6% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 5.0% of renter households in 2008.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010502

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010502?

Census tract 31153010502 in Bellevue scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31153010502?

Median gross rent is $1,279/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010502?

14.9% of residents in tract 31153010502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,792.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 63th, minority 57th, housing 15th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010502?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 195 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.64% of renter households, peaking at 5.0% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 31153010502 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 31153010502 compare to Bellevue overall?

Tract 31153010502 scores 2.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Bellevue at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bellevue eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 31153010502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bellevue

Top eight tracts in Bellevue ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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