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Neighborhood · Ranked #66,742 of 84,120 nationally

Chalco Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 31153010625 · Sarpy County, NE · pop 4,545 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

How risky is Chalco in Chalco for landlords? Census tract 31153010625 scores 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 32% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 54% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,009 a month against an average household income of $68,148 a year, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 39% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 18% Owners 61%
Tract context
Occupied units2,008
Renter share38.9%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate5.3%
Median income$68,148

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Chalco
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Chalco
Very High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 47 tracts In Sarpy County
Elevated
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#422 of 553 tracts In Nebraska
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chalco and the region

Centroid at 41.1835, -96.1486 · click any tract to drill in

Why Chalco scores 2.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chalco
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.4
State political climate
Nebraska legislature & governorship
1.8
Economic stress
5.3% poverty · this tract
1.3
Supply constraint
$1,009 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chalco
6.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chalco
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chalco
5.0

How Chalco compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Chalco risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.52.5This tracttract 010625Chalco: 2.72.7Chalcoparent cityCounty: 2.02.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.43.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 11

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 516Total filings over 11 yrs
  • 8.97%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.2%Peak (2010)
  • 38Filings in 2016 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2003 to 2016
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 311530106252003: 48 filings (19.90/100 renter HHs)2006: 53 filings (12.06/100 renter HHs)2007: 47 filings (10.70/100 renter HHs)2008: 53 filings (12.06/100 renter HHs)2009: 52 filings (11.84/100 renter HHs)2010: 58 filings (7.15/100 renter HHs)2011: 50 filings (5.96/100 renter HHs)2012: 45 filings (5.36/100 renter HHs)2013: 37 filings (4.41/100 renter HHs)2015: 35 filings (4.17/100 renter HHs)2016: 38 filings (5.02/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 11 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Chalco. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Chalco

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 6.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chalco eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Sarpy County average of 4.1 and above the Nebraska statewide average of 3.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 11th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 31153010625

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 31153010625?

Census tract 31153010625 in the Chalco neighborhood scores 2.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 31153010625?

Median gross rent is $1,009/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 31153010625?

5.3% of residents in tract 31153010625 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,545.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 31153010625?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 12th, household 15th, minority 17th, housing 28th.
Q5

Is tract 31153010625 considered part of Chalco?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 31153010625 fall within Chalco (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 31153010625?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 516 eviction filings across 11 validated years in tract 31153010625 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.97% of renter households, peaking at 7.2% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 31153010625 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 31153010625 compare to Chalco overall?

Tract 31153010625 scores 2.5/10, right in line with the parent city of Chalco at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chalco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chalco

Top eight tracts in Chalco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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