Rochester Eviction Risk: Lower

The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Average gross rent is $1,094, 20% below the Rochester average. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.5/10.

SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.4% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 33rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $78,262, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

It tracks the Strafford County average of 4.1 closely.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.