Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally
Stafford Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Rochester
Tract 33017084302 · Strafford County, NH · pop 4,447 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
With a score of 5.4/10, tract 33017084302 in the Stafford Square area of Rochester, NH reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. At $823 a month, rents run 40% under what the rest of Rochester commands.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 49%
Tract context
Occupied units1,867
Renter share51.1%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate15.5%
Median income$52,644
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Rochester and the region
Centroid at 43.3162, -70.9725 · click any tract to drill in
Why Stafford Square scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Rochester
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Hampshire legislature & governorship
2.5
Economic stress
15.5% poverty · this tract
3.9
Supply constraint
$823 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Rochester
5.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Rochester
7.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Rochester
5.2
How Stafford Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 95%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Stafford Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 13.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 17.7%Food insecurity
- 14.9%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 33.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Stafford Square
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
It sits 1.3 points above the Strafford County average of 4.1. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.3/10.
Against Strafford County at 44.5%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the NH average is 4.2, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 19% of average household income of $52,644.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 33017084302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 33017084302?
Census tract 33017084302 in the Stafford Square neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 33017084302?
Median gross rent is $823/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 33017084302?
15.5% of residents in tract 33017084302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,447.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 33017084302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 54th, minority 26th, housing 95th.
Q5
Is tract 33017084302 considered part of Stafford Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 33017084302 fall within Stafford Square (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 33017084302 struggle to pay rent?
About 13.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 33017084302 compare to Rochester overall?
Tract 33017084302 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Rochester at 4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Rochester eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Rochester
Top eight tracts in Rochester ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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