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Neighborhood · Ranked #72,539 of 84,120 nationally

Heather Croft Eviction Risk: Lower , Northfield

Tract 34001012302 · Atlantic County, NJ · pop 3,534 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

The Heather Croft area of Northfield is where census tract 34001012302 sits, home to 3,534 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 6.6/10. It lands near the 89th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,623 monthly, set against $109,200 in average yearly household income, roughly 18% of income at the averages. About 14% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.1
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 8% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,316
Renter share14.3%
SVI overall0.23
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$109,200

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Heather Croft
Moderate
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Northfield
Very Low
Within county
4 th percentile
Rank, 4th percentileLowHigh
#70 of 73 tracts In Atlantic County
Very Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#1,797 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Northfield and the region

Centroid at 39.3802, -74.5625 · click any tract to drill in

Why Heather Croft scores 2.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Northfield
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.3
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,623 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Northfield
8.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Northfield
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Northfield
5.9

How Heather Croft compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Heather Croft risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.12.1This tracttract 012302Northfield: 6.96.9Northfieldparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 60Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 6.72%Avg annual filing rate
  • 9.5%Peak (2014)
  • 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340010123022013: 10 filings (6.33/100 renter HHs)2014: 15 filings (9.49/100 renter HHs)2015: 12 filings (7.59/100 renter HHs)2016: 11 filings (8.09/100 renter HHs)2017: 7 filings (5.15/100 renter HHs)2018: 5 filings (3.68/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Heather Croft

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Northfield, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Atlantic County average of 6.7 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34001012302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34001012302?

Census tract 34001012302 in the Heather Croft neighborhood scores 2.1/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34001012302?

Median gross rent is $1,623/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34001012302?

5.7% of residents in tract 34001012302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,534.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34001012302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 63th, minority 53th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 34001012302 considered part of Heather Croft?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34001012302 fall within Heather Croft (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34001012302?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 60 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34001012302 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.72% of renter households, peaking at 9.5% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34001012302 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34001012302 compare to Northfield overall?

Tract 34001012302 scores 2.1/10, lower than the parent city of Northfield at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Northfield; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34001012302 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Northfield

Top eight tracts in Northfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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