Tenafly Eviction Risk: Moderate

The voucher gap is 39.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 8.9/10.

Food insecurity runs 5.3% against 17.8% nationally. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 7.9/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Average gross rent is $2,883, 18% below the Tenafly average. Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally.

Court records carry 38 eviction filings across 5 observed years. It sits 0.7 points below the Bergen County average of 6.3. The worst year on record was 2018, when 2.4% of renter households were served.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Bergen Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 73% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.