Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #34,278 of 84,120 nationally
Erma Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34009021702 · Cape May County, NJ · pop 2,332 · 25% of tract blocks fall in Erma
34009021702 is a census tract in Erma, NJ. It scores 4.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,332. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10.
Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,170
Renter share15.4%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate2.6%
Median income$106,339
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Erma and the region
Centroid at 38.9748, -74.8719 · click any tract to drill in
Why Erma scores 4.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Erma
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,167 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erma
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erma
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erma
6.5
How Erma compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 45
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 53%Socioeconomic
- 30%Household composition
- 27%Racial/ethnic minority
- 53%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 28Total filings over 4 yrs
- 4.58%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.6%Peak (2018)
- 11Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 120% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.6%Housing insecurity
- 4.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.4%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.4%Transit barriers
- 7.2%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Erma
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Cape May County average of 43.6%. At $1,167 a month, rents run 24% under what the rest of Erma commands.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally.
The filing record is not thin: 28 evictions over 4 years of observation. Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2018, when 6.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.6% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #34,278 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $106,339, an unusually wide affordability cushion.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34009021702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009021702?
Census tract 34009021702 in Erma scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34009021702?
Median gross rent is $1,167/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34009021702?
2.6% of residents in tract 34009021702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,332.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34009021702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 53th, household 30th, minority 27th, housing 53th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009021702?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 28 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009021702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.58% of renter households, peaking at 6.6% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34009021702 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34009021702 compare to Erma overall?
Tract 34009021702 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Erma at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erma; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Erma
Top eight tracts in Erma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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