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Census Tract · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally

Erma Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 34009021701 · Cape May County, NJ · pop 2,910 · 23% of tract blocks fall in Erma

With a score of 6.2/10, tract 34009021701 in Erma, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,910. Cost burden runs 76% here against 43.6% across Cape May County.

Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27% Stable renters 9% Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units1,247
Renter share36.1%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate9.2%
Median income$79,583

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Erma
Very High
Within county
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 32 tracts In Cape May County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#917 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
National
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#17,132 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Erma and the region

Centroid at 38.9838, -74.9113 · click any tract to drill in

Why Erma scores 6.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Erma
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.2% poverty · this tract
2.3
Supply constraint
$816 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Erma
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Erma
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Erma
6.5

How Erma compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Erma risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.2This tracttract 0217015.9Ermaparent city5.0Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 115Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 7.66%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.8%Peak (2016)
  • 25Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34009021701
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Erma

35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Average gross rent is $816, 47% below the Erma average.

What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10. Against the Cape May County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.

SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 115 filings here across 4 tracked years. Food insecurity runs 10.3% against 17.8% nationally.

The worst year on record was 2016, when 10.8% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 7.7% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #17,132 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.9/10. Against average income of $79,583, annual rent is just 12%.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34009021701

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009021701?

Census tract 34009021701 in Erma scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34009021701?

Median gross rent is $816/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34009021701?

9.2% of residents in tract 34009021701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,910.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34009021701?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 47th, minority 12th, housing 60th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009021701?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 115 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009021701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 7.66% of renter households, peaking at 10.8% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34009021701 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34009021701 compare to Erma overall?

Tract 34009021701 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Erma at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Erma; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Erma

Top eight tracts in Erma ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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