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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Fishing Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Villas

Tract 34009021804 · Cape May County, NJ · pop 6,202 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 34009021804 covers the Fishing Creek area of Villas, home to 6,202 residents. For landlords it grades 6.2/10, an elevated reading. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

24% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,236 a month against an average household income of $73,510 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 8% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,700
Renter share10.4%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$73,510

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Fishing Creek
Very High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Villas
Very High
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 32 tracts In Cape May County
High
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#475 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Villas and the region

Centroid at 39.0137, -74.9262 · click any tract to drill in

Why Fishing Creek scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Villas
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Villas
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Villas
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Villas
8.3

How Fishing Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Fishing Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 021804Villas: 7.07.0Villasparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 230Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 11.55%Avg annual filing rate
  • 10.7%Peak (2013)
  • 53Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340090218042013: 63 filings (10.73/100 renter HHs)2016: 53 filings (11.25/100 renter HHs)2017: 61 filings (12.95/100 renter HHs)2018: 53 filings (11.25/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Fishing Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Fishing Creek

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Villas, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Cape May County average of 6.0 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 12.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 230 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 11.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 10.7% of renter households in 2013.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34009021804

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009021804?

Census tract 34009021804 in the Fishing Creek neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34009021804?

Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34009021804?

21.5% of residents in tract 34009021804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,202.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34009021804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 54th, minority 23th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 34009021804 considered part of Fishing Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34009021804 fall within Fishing Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009021804?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 230 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009021804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.55% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34009021804 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34009021804 compare to Villas overall?

Tract 34009021804 scores 6.4/10, lower than the parent city of Villas at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Villas; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Villas

Top eight tracts in Villas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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