Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,153 of 84,120 nationally
Fishing Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Villas
Tract 34009021804 · Cape May County, NJ · pop 6,202 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 34009021804 sits in the Fishing Creek area of Villas, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.3/10. It is home to 6,202 residents. about a quarter of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Cape May County average of 43.6%.
Risk score
7.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 8%
Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,700
Renter share10.4%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate21.5%
Median income$73,510
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Villas and the region
Centroid at 39.0137, -74.9262 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fishing Creek scores 7.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Villas
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
21.5% poverty · this tract
5.4
Supply constraint
$1,236 rent vs county FMR
2.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Villas
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Villas
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Villas
8.3
How Fishing Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 54%Household composition
- 23%Racial/ethnic minority
- 5%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 230Total filings over 4 yrs
- 11.55%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.7%Peak (2013)
- 53Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 16% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fishing Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 7.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 15.1%Food insecurity
- 10.6%SNAP enrollment
- 8.2%Transit barriers
- 10.3%No health insurance
- 17.9%Frequent mental distress
- 29.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fishing Creek
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10. It sits 2.3 points above the Cape May County average of 5.0. The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,236, 28% below the Villas average. On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.3/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. The filing record is not thin: 230 evictions over 4 years of observation.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 10.7% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 10% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34009021804
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009021804?
Census tract 34009021804 in the Fishing Creek neighborhood scores 7.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34009021804?
Median gross rent is $1,236/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 24% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34009021804?
21.5% of residents in tract 34009021804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,202.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34009021804?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 54th, minority 23th, housing 5th.
Q5
Is tract 34009021804 considered part of Fishing Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34009021804 fall within Fishing Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009021804?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 230 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009021804 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.55% of renter households, peaking at 10.7% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34009021804 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34009021804 compare to Villas overall?
Tract 34009021804 scores 7.3/10, higher than the parent city of Villas at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Villas; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Villas
Top eight tracts in Villas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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