Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #19,562 of 84,120 nationally
Fishing Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate , Villas
Tract 34009021803 · Cape May County, NJ · pop 3,723 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
Census tract 34009021803 runs through the Fishing Creek neighborhood of Villas. With 3,723 residents, it scores 6.8/10 for landlords. It lands near the 92nd percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.
74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 61% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,710 a month while the average household earns $74,683 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.
Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,903
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$74,683
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
71
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Villas and the region
Centroid at 39.0153, -74.9463 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fishing Creek scores 5.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Villas
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,710 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Villas
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Villas
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Villas
8.3
How Fishing Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 133Total filings over 4 yrs
- 11.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2013)
- 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 51% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fishing Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fishing Creek
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Villas, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cape May County average of 6.0 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 49th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34009021803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009021803?
Census tract 34009021803 in the Fishing Creek neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34009021803?
Median gross rent is $1,710/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34009021803?
9.6% of residents in tract 34009021803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,723.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34009021803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 78th, minority 5th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 34009021803 considered part of Fishing Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34009021803 fall within Fishing Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009021803?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 133 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009021803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.56% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34009021803 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34009021803 compare to Villas overall?
Tract 34009021803 scores 5.4/10, lower than the parent city of Villas at 7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Villas; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Villas
Top eight tracts in Villas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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