Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Fishing Creek Eviction Risk: Elevated , Villas
Tract 34009021803 · Cape May County, NJ · pop 3,723 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
34009021803 is a census tract in the Fishing Creek area of Villas, NJ. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,723 residents. The severe-burden share is 61%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,903
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.49
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$74,683
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
77
th percentile
High
Within state
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Villas and the region
Centroid at 39.0153, -74.9463 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fishing Creek scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Villas
4.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.2
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,710 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Villas
9.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Villas
3.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Villas
8.3
How Fishing Creek compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 49
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 57%Socioeconomic
- 78%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 33%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 133Total filings over 4 yrs
- 11.56%Avg annual filing rate
- 12.2%Peak (2013)
- 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 51% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Fishing Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.7%Food insecurity
- 9.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.1%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 31.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fishing Creek
Against Cape May County at 43.6%, about three-quarters of renters here are cost-burdened. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.4/10.
Running hot, housing-court posture reads 8.3/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Cape May County average of 5.0. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8/10.
Court records carry 133 eviction filings across 4 observed years. The worst year on record was 2013, when 12.2% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 11.6% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 15% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 5.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,710, close to the Villas average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $74,683.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34009021803
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34009021803?
Census tract 34009021803 in the Fishing Creek neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34009021803?
Median gross rent is $1,710/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34009021803?
9.6% of residents in tract 34009021803 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,723.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34009021803?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 49th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 57th, household 78th, minority 5th, housing 33th.
Q5
Is tract 34009021803 considered part of Fishing Creek?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34009021803 fall within Fishing Creek (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34009021803?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 133 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34009021803 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.56% of renter households, peaking at 12.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34009021803 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34009021803 compare to Villas overall?
Tract 34009021803 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Villas at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Villas; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Villas
Top eight tracts in Villas ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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