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Census Tract · Ranked #6,676 of 84,120 nationally

East Orange Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013010200 · Essex County, NJ · pop 4,629

34013010200 is a census tract in East Orange, NJ. It scores 8.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,629. Average gross rent is $646, 55% below the East Orange average.

Risk score
8.2
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 22% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,909
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$38,424

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 19 tracts In East Orange
Elevated
Within county
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#94 of 211 tracts In Essex County
Elevated
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#357 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
High
National
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#6,676 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Orange and the region

Centroid at 40.7723, -74.1976 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Orange scores 8.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Orange
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$646 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Orange
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Orange
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Orange
7.1

How East Orange compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Orange risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.2This tracttract 0102007.4East Orangeparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 85

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 594Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 11.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.6%Peak (2013)
  • 100Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 34013010200
Filings dropped 21% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Orange

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 9.7/10.

The severe-burden share is 30%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Cost burden runs 58% here against 50.3% across Essex County. Food insecurity runs 27.2% against 17.8% nationally.

The filing record is not thin: 594 evictions over 6 years of observation. It sits 0.9 points above the Essex County average of 7.3.

Housing insecurity runs 22.6% against 14.2% nationally. Filings peaked in 2013 at 14.6% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 11.3% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 92nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013010200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013010200?

Census tract 34013010200 in East Orange scores 8.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013010200?

Median gross rent is $646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013010200?

10.9% of residents in tract 34013010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,629.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013010200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 68th, minority 97th, housing 86th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013010200?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 594 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013010200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.35% of renter households, peaking at 14.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013010200 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013010200 compare to East Orange overall?

Tract 34013010200 scores 8.2/10, higher than the parent city of East Orange at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013010200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Orange

Top eight tracts in East Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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