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Census Tract · Ranked #550 of 84,120 nationally

East Orange Eviction Risk: High

Tract 34013010400 · Essex County, NJ · pop 4,447

Here is how census tract 34013010400, in East Orange eviction risk, looks to a landlord: a $1/10 eviction-risk score (High tier) across a population of 4,447. That puts it among the highest-scoring tracts in the entire country, the top 1% nationally for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 52% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,404 monthly, set against $47,190 in average yearly household income, roughly 36% of income at the averages. About 76% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 36% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units2,256
Renter share76.2%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$47,190

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 19 tracts In East Orange
Very High
Within county
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#32 of 211 tracts In Essex County
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#67 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very High
National
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#550 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Orange and the region

Centroid at 40.7719, -74.2103 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Orange scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Orange
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,404 rent vs county FMR
1.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Orange
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Orange
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Orange
7.1

How East Orange compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Orange risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.98.9This tracttract 010400East Orange: 8.38.3East Orangeparent cityCounty: 5.85.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 4,696Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 42.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 47.4%Peak (2013)
  • 733Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340130104002013: 917 filings (47.37/100 renter HHs)2014: 858 filings (44.32/100 renter HHs)2015: 788 filings (40.70/100 renter HHs)2016: 699 filings (40.10/100 renter HHs)2017: 701 filings (40.22/100 renter HHs)2018: 733 filings (42.05/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Orange

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Orange eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Part of this tract, about 28% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was A ("Best"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

In CDC survey modeling, about 29.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 20.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord underwriting a deal here, treat timelines and legal costs as the real risk: East Orange eviction risk sits in territory where contested cases drag and tenant defenses are well organized, so airtight notices and screening matter more than usual.

Frequently asked

About tract 34013010400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013010400?

Census tract 34013010400 in East Orange scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34013010400?

Median gross rent is $1,404/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34013010400?

29.9% of residents in tract 34013010400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,447.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34013010400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 42th, minority 99th, housing 85th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013010400?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 4,696 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013010400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 42.46% of renter households, peaking at 47.4% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34013010400 struggle to pay rent?

About 29.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 20.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 34013010400 compare to East Orange overall?

Tract 34013010400 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of East Orange at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 34013010400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 28% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Orange

Top eight tracts in East Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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