Within parent city
52
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally
Newark Eviction Risk: High
Tract 34013000200 · Essex County, NJ · pop 3,444
With a score of 9.9/10, tract 34013000200 in Newark, NJ reads high for landlord eviction risk. Against Essex County at 50.3%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 48%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,319
Renter share67.5%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$59,839
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
80
th percentile
High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
National
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Newark and the region
Centroid at 40.7738, -74.1751 · click any tract to drill in
Why Newark scores 9.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Newark
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,121 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Newark
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Newark
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Newark
8.0
How Newark compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 93
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 86%Socioeconomic
- 91%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 83%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 10%Grade B
- 2%Grade C
- 33%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 836Total filings over 6 yrs
- 14.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 24.8%Peak (2018)
- 235Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 133% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.8%Housing insecurity
- 16.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.4%Food insecurity
- 24.5%SNAP enrollment
- 16.8%Transit barriers
- 33.5%No health insurance
- 17.8%Frequent mental distress
- 35.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Newark
The dominant input is court filing pressure at 9.7/10. It sits 2.6 points above the Essex County average of 7.3.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Housing insecurity runs 29.8% against 14.2% nationally. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The severe-burden share is 14%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Average gross rent is $1,121, 19% below the Newark average. The filing record is not thin: 836 evictions over 6 years of observation.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2018, when 24.8% of renter households were served.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34013000200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013000200?
Census tract 34013000200 in Newark scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34013000200?
Median gross rent is $1,121/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34013000200?
25.3% of residents in tract 34013000200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,444.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34013000200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 91th, minority 93th, housing 83th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013000200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 836 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013000200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.41% of renter households, peaking at 24.8% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34013000200 struggle to pay rent?
About 29.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 16.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34013000200 compare to Newark overall?
Tract 34013000200 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of Newark at 8.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Newark eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34013000200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 33% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Newark
Top eight tracts in Newark ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
University Heights
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013009600
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013005300
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013005400
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Teachers Village
9.9
/ 10 · Very High
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