Within parent city
56
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #2,663 of 84,120 nationally
East Orange Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34013010200 · Essex County, NJ · pop 4,629
Census tract 34013010200 belongs to East Orange, New Jersey. It is home to 4,629 residents and scores 7.4/10, an elevated reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #1,683 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 58% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 30% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $646 a month against an average household income of $38,424 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 31%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units1,909
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.85
Poverty rate10.9%
Median income$38,424
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
88
th percentile
High
National
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Orange and the region
Centroid at 40.7723, -74.1976 · click any tract to drill in
Why East Orange scores 7.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from East Orange
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.9% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$646 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Orange
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Orange
9.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Orange
7.1
How East Orange compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 85
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 86%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 31%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 67%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 594Total filings over 6 yrs
- 11.35%Avg annual filing rate
- 14.6%Peak (2013)
- 100Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.6%Housing insecurity
- 13.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 27.2%Food insecurity
- 20.1%SNAP enrollment
- 13.3%Transit barriers
- 15.1%No health insurance
- 16.5%Frequent mental distress
- 31.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in East Orange
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from East Orange eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Essex County average of 7.3 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 594 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 11.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 14.6% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34013010200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34013010200?
Census tract 34013010200 in East Orange scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34013010200?
Median gross rent is $646/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34013010200?
10.9% of residents in tract 34013010200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,629.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34013010200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 85th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 68th, minority 97th, housing 86th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34013010200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 594 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34013010200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.35% of renter households, peaking at 14.6% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 34013010200 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 13.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34013010200 compare to East Orange overall?
Tract 34013010200 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of East Orange at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Orange eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 34013010200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Orange
Top eight tracts in East Orange ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
34013011100
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
34013010400
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34013010600
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
8.6
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
University Heights
8.5
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34013011700
8.3
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34013010700
7.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
34013011200
7.8
/ 10 · High
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