Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #550 of 84,120 nationally
The Island Eviction Risk: High , Trenton
Tract 34021001200 · Mercer County, NJ · pop 4,473 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
Tract 34021001200, home to 4,473 residents in the The Island area of Trenton, scores 7.9/10 for landlord eviction risk. That ranks it in the top 1% of US census tracts for landlord eviction risk, among the very hardest places in the country to operate.
62% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 52% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,376 monthly, set against $50,625 in average yearly household income, roughly 33% of income at the averages. Renters make up 57% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 36%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 42%
Tract context
Occupied units1,568
Renter share57.4%
SVI overall0.79
Poverty rate36.1%
Median income$50,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
79
th percentile
High
Within county
93
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Trenton and the region
Centroid at 40.2352, -74.8021 · click any tract to drill in
Why The Island scores 8.9
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Trenton
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.0
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
36.1% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,376 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Trenton
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Trenton
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Trenton
7.0
How The Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 79
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 77%Socioeconomic
- 67%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 65%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: A: Best
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 58%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,628Total filings over 6 yrs
- 39.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 46.2%Peak (2013)
- 249Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 21% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.3%Housing insecurity
- 19.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.7%Food insecurity
- 29.1%SNAP enrollment
- 16.7%Transit barriers
- 13.8%No health insurance
- 18.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in The Island
The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Trenton eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Mercer County average of 6.7 and above the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of A ("Best"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.
Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 1,628 eviction filings here over 6 tracked years, with about 39.8% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 46.2% of renter households in 2013.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 34021001200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34021001200?
Census tract 34021001200 in the The Island neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34021001200?
Median gross rent is $1,376/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34021001200?
36.1% of residents in tract 34021001200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,473.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34021001200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 77th, household 67th, minority 88th, housing 65th.
Q5
Is tract 34021001200 considered part of The Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34021001200 fall within The Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34021001200?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 1,628 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34021001200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 39.85% of renter households, peaking at 46.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34021001200 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 19.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34021001200 compare to Trenton overall?
Tract 34021001200 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Trenton at 8.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Trenton eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 34021001200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Trenton
Top eight tracts in Trenton ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · NJ
Cadwalader Heights
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
North Trenton
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Chambersburg
9.2
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Chambersburg
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
Lamberton
9.1
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · NJ
East Trenton
8.9
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Perdicaris Place
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · NJ
Perdicaris Place
8.8
/ 10 · High
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