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Neighborhood · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Bay View Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Mystic Island

Tract 34029736101 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 5,629 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 34029736101 sits in the Bay View Heights neighborhood of Mystic Island, New Jersey. It has a population of 5,629 and an eviction-risk score of 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). 59% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 59% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $2,117/month against a median household income of $67,466 — roughly 38% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 5% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,137
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate10.2%
Median income$67,466

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank — 50th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 1 tracts In Bay View Heights
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank — 100th percentileBottomTop
#1 of 3 tracts In Mystic Island
Very High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank — 87th percentileBottomTop
#20 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
High
Within state
72 th percentile
Rank — 72th percentileBottomTop
#610 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Mystic Island and the region

Centroid at 39.6040, -74.3822 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bay View Heights scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Mystic Island
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.2% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$2,117 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mystic Island
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mystic Island
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mystic Island
8.4

How Bay View Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bay View Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 736101Mystic Island: 7.17.1Mystic Islandparent cityCounty: 6.36.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.66.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 167Total filings over 6 yrs
  • 11.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 18.8%Peak (2018)
  • 42Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 — 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340297361012013: 27 filings (9.78/100 renter HHs)2014: 21 filings (7.61/100 renter HHs)2015: 24 filings (8.70/100 renter HHs)2016: 30 filings (13.45/100 renter HHs)2017: 23 filings (10.31/100 renter HHs)2018: 42 filings (18.83/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 56% over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029736101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029736101?

Census tract 34029736101 in the Bay View Heights neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029736101?

Median gross rent is $2,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029736101?

10.2% of residents in tract 34029736101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,629.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029736101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 52th, minority 18th, housing 64th.

Q5

Is tract 34029736101 considered part of Bay View Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029736101 fall within Bay View Heights (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029736101?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 167 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029736101 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.45% of renter households, peaking at 18.8% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 34029736101 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 34029736101 compare to Mystic Island overall?

Tract 34029736101 scores 6.9/10 — right in line with the parent city of Mystic Island at 7.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mystic Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Mystic Island

Top eight tracts in Mystic Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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