Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally
Hickory Island Eviction Risk: Elevated , Mystic Island
Tract 34029736105 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 3,245 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 34029736105 sits in the Hickory Island area of Mystic Island, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.7/10. Population here is 3,245. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 9.6/10.
Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 5%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units1,746
Renter share8.8%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$85,536
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
66
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Mystic Island and the region
Centroid at 39.5536, -74.3861 · click any tract to drill in
Why Hickory Island scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Mystic Island
5.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,701 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Mystic Island
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Mystic Island
3.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Mystic Island
8.4
How Hickory Island compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 43%Household composition
- 15%Racial/ethnic minority
- 15%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 141Total filings over 6 yrs
- 10.45%Avg annual filing rate
- 13.8%Peak (2017)
- 19Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 6 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.2%Housing insecurity
- 5.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.6%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 5.9%Transit barriers
- 7.6%No health insurance
- 13.8%Frequent mental distress
- 28.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Hickory Island
Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. It sits 1.7 points above the Ocean County average of 5.0.
On the high side, housing-court posture reads 8.4/10. 44% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Ocean County average of 50.5%. Court records carry 141 eviction filings across 6 observed years.
SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.6% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,701, 10% below the Mystic Island average.
Filings peaked in 2017 at 13.8% of renter households. In a typical year about 10.4% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029736105
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029736105?
Census tract 34029736105 in the Hickory Island neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029736105?
Median gross rent is $1,701/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029736105?
16.9% of residents in tract 34029736105 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,245.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029736105?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 43th, minority 15th, housing 15th.
Q5
Is tract 34029736105 considered part of Hickory Island?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029736105 fall within Hickory Island (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029736105?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 141 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029736105 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.45% of renter households, peaking at 13.8% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029736105 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029736105 compare to Mystic Island overall?
Tract 34029736105 scores 6.7/10, higher than the parent city of Mystic Island at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Mystic Island; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Mystic Island
Top eight tracts in Mystic Island ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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