Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Bayville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ocean Gate
Tract 34029729000 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 1,682 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
With a score of 4.4/10, tract 34029729000 in the Bayville area of Ocean Gate, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,682 residents. Severe burden reaches 29%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units754
Renter share19.2%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate3.8%
Median income$75,278
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
41
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ocean Gate and the region
Centroid at 39.9246, -74.1366 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayville scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ocean Gate
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,724 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ocean Gate
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ocean Gate
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ocean Gate
5.9
How Bayville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 12%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 199Total filings over 6 yrs
- 15.31%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.1%Peak (2013)
- 34Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 17% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.7%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.3%Food insecurity
- 6.8%SNAP enrollment
- 6.4%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 15.8%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayville
The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Cost burden runs 39% here against 50.5% across Ocean County.
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. Court records carry 199 eviction filings across 6 observed years. SNAP participation runs 6.8% against 15.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2013 at 17.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 15.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 49% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 19% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029729000
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029729000?
Census tract 34029729000 in the Bayville neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029729000?
Median gross rent is $1,724/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029729000?
3.8% of residents in tract 34029729000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,682.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029729000?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 60th, minority 12th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 34029729000 considered part of Bayville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029729000 fall within Bayville (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029729000?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 199 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029729000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.31% of renter households, peaking at 17.1% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029729000 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029729000 compare to Ocean Gate overall?
Tract 34029729000 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Ocean Gate at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ocean Gate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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