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Neighborhood · Ocean Gate, NJ

Bayville Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 8,739 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 4.4–4.4

Bayville is a 2-tract suburb of Ocean Gate, NJ, population 8,739. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.4/10, Moderate tier. Cost burden runs about half against 20.6% citywide, putting Bayville 29.4% over its own city.

The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.5/10. Well under the midpoint is supply constraint, at 1.5/10.

Average gross rent is $1,266, 21% below the Ocean Gate average of $1,604. Court records carry 820 eviction filings across its 2 observed tracts. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.2/10.

SNAP participation is 6.7% of households versus 15.2% nationally. The worst year on record was 2014, when filings touched 25.9% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 14.9% in 2018, is well off that peak.

At 23% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out. Rent takes 16% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 2 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses.

With little internal variation, 4.4/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Bayville vs Ocean Gate How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.0% +143%
Ocean Gate: 20.6%
Average gross rent
$1,266 -21%
Ocean Gate: $1,604
Average HH income
$92,557 +23%
Ocean Gate: $75,278
Poverty rate
6.0% +57%
Ocean Gate: 3.8%
Renter share
23.1% +32%
Ocean Gate: 17.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bayville and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.4–4.4

Why Bayville scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 3.6–3.6 across tracts
3.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 4.2–6.8 across tracts
6.3
Rent control risk
50% of income on rent · Range 6.8–9.1 across tracts
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 5.0–6.7 across tracts
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
23% renter households · Range 4.0–4.5 across tracts
4.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–5.9 across tracts
5.2
Economic stress
6.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.6 across tracts
1.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.5 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Bayville vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Bayville score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Bayville: 4.44.4BayvilleNeighborhoodParent city: 4.64.6Parent cityhost cityState: 6.46.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Bayville

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
34029731102 4.4 7,057 53% $1,157
34029729000 4.4 1,682 39% $1,724
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 56

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 60%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 65%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 38%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 49%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Bayville

Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 820Total filings (sum)
  • 18.17%Avg annual filing rate
  • 25.9%Peak year (2014)
  • 13.15%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bayville

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Bayville

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Bayville?

Bayville scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Bayville compare to Ocean Gate overall?

Bayville scores 0.2 points lower than Ocean Gate overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 21% citywide. Average rent: $1,266 vs $1,604.
Q3

What is the average rent in Bayville?

Average gross rent in Bayville is $1,266/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Bayville residents are renters?

23% of Bayville households are renter-occupied (vs 17% in Ocean Gate). The neighborhood has 8,739 residents.
Q5

Is Bayville a high social-vulnerability area?

Bayville sits in the 56th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Bayville have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Bayville is census tract 34029731102 (score 4.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.4 to 4.4, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Bayville for landlords?

Bayville carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Ocean Gate as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Bayville?

Bayville has 8,862 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.6%), Hispanic / Latino (4.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Bayville

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