Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #42,813 of 84,120 nationally
Bayville Eviction Risk: Moderate , Ocean Gate
Tract 34029731102 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 7,057 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Census tract 34029731102 covers part of the Bayville area of Ocean County, NJ, and scores 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 7,057. Severe burden reaches 38%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units2,489
Renter share24.0%
SVI overall0.65
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$96,675
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
39
th percentile
Low
Within state
22
th percentile
Low
National
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ocean Gate and the region
Centroid at 39.9032, -74.1634 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bayville scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ocean Gate
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,157 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ocean Gate
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ocean Gate
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ocean Gate
5.0
How Bayville compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 65
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 66%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 59%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 621Total filings over 6 yrs
- 18.85%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.9%Peak (2014)
- 79Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 33% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bayville. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.2%Housing insecurity
- 6.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.5%Food insecurity
- 6.6%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 9.4%No health insurance
- 15.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bayville
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10. SNAP participation runs 6.6% against 15.2% nationally.
Court records carry 621 eviction filings across 6 observed years. Filings peaked in 2014 at 25.9% of renter households. In a typical year about 18.8% of renter households face a filing.
Nationally it ranks #42,813 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.9/10.
Against average income of $96,675, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler.
roughly one in two of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029731102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029731102?
Census tract 34029731102 in the Bayville neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029731102?
Median gross rent is $1,157/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029731102?
6.5% of residents in tract 34029731102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,057.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029731102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 65th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 66th, minority 44th, housing 59th.
Q5
Is tract 34029731102 considered part of Bayville?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029731102 fall within Bayville (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029731102?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 621 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029731102 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.85% of renter households, peaking at 25.9% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029731102 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029731102 compare to Ocean Gate overall?
Tract 34029731102 scores 4.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Ocean Gate at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ocean Gate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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