Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #17,132 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Head Junction Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 34029710102 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 1,901 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 6.2/10, tract 34029710102 in the Bay Head Junction area of Point Pleasant Beach, NJ reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,901 residents. Severe burden reaches 27%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 54%
Tract context
Occupied units761
Renter share46.1%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$124,531
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bay Head and the region
Centroid at 40.0855, -74.0422 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Head Junction scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bay Head
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$1,732 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Head
7.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Head
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Head
6.6
How Bay Head Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 27%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 77%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Head Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.4%Food insecurity
- 6.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.7%Transit barriers
- 7.0%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 24.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Head Junction
The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 8.7/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.5/10. Against the Ocean County average of 5.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.2 points.
The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation runs 6.0% against 15.2% nationally.
Against Ocean County at 50.5%, 46% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 9.4% against 17.8% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Against average income of $124,531, annual rent is just 17%.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,732, close to the Point Pleasant Beach average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029710102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029710102?
Census tract 34029710102 in the Bay Head Junction neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029710102?
Median gross rent is $1,732/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029710102?
19.8% of residents in tract 34029710102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,901.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029710102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 9th, minority 17th, housing 77th.
Q5
Is tract 34029710102 considered part of Bay Head Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029710102 fall within Bay Head Junction (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 34029710102 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 34029710102 compare to Bay Head overall?
Tract 34029710102 scores 6.2/10, higher than the parent city of Bay Head at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Head; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bay Head
Top eight tracts in Bay Head ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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