3 census tracts · pop 10,700 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.7/10
· range 3.2–6.2
Bay Head Junction is a 3-tract neighborhood of Bay Head, NJ, population 10,700. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.7/10, in the Moderate tier. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3.2 to 6.2, a 3-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.
Average gross rent is $1,930, 36% above the Bay Head average of $1,424. The main counterweight is economic stress, at 1.8/10. 20% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.
On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. Court records for this tract carry 63 eviction filings.
CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. 4.1% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filing activity peaked in 2014 at 4.7% of renter households.
Rent consumes at least 30% of income for 50% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 1.6% in 2018, is well off that peak.
At 15% renter-occupied, this is predominantly owner territory, and rental comps have to be drawn from further out.
For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
4.7
Moderate
3 tracts · population-weighted
Bay Head Junction vs Bay HeadHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority19%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport25%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Bay Head Junction
Aggregated across 1 validated constituent tract. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
63Total filings (sum)
3.08%Avg annual filing rate
4.7%Peak year (2014)
1.62%Latest filed (2018)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Bay Head Junction
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
6.4%Housing insecurity
4.2%Utility shutoff threat
7.3%Food insecurity
4.2%SNAP enrollment
5.9%No health insurance
22.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Bay Head Junction
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Bay Head Junction?
Bay Head Junction scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Bay Head Junction compare to Bay Head overall?
Bay Head Junction scores 0.1 points higher than Bay Head overall (4.6/10). Renters spend 50% of income on rent vs 51% citywide. Average rent: $1,930 vs $1,424.
Q3
What is the average rent in Bay Head Junction?
Average gross rent in Bay Head Junction is $1,930/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Bay Head Junction residents are renters?
15% of Bay Head Junction households are renter-occupied (vs 14% in Bay Head). The neighborhood has 10,700 residents.
Q5
Is Bay Head Junction a high social-vulnerability area?
Bay Head Junction sits in the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Bay Head Junction have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Bay Head Junction is census tract 34029710102 (score 6.2/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.2 to 6.2, a spread of 3 points.
Q7
How safe is Bay Head Junction for landlords?
Bay Head Junction carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Bay Head as a whole (4.6/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Bay Head Junction?
Bay Head Junction has 10,789 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (90.1%), Hispanic / Latino (8.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (0.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
