Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Bay Head Junction Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 34029711400 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 6,292 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
Census tract 34029711400 covers part of the Bay Head Junction area of Point Pleasant, NJ, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,292. Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1.1/10.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units2,533
Renter share9.2%
SVI overall0.01
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$107,460
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
32
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bay Head and the region
Centroid at 40.0668, -74.0672 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bay Head Junction scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bay Head
5.4
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,076 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bay Head
7.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bay Head
4.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bay Head
4.9
How Bay Head Junction compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 1
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 8%Socioeconomic
- 12%Household composition
- 20%Racial/ethnic minority
- 2%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 63Total filings over 6 yrs
- 3.08%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.7%Peak (2014)
- 5Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 69% over the past 6 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Bay Head Junction. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 4.5%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.8%Food insecurity
- 4.4%SNAP enrollment
- 4.8%Transit barriers
- 6.2%No health insurance
- 13.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bay Head Junction
On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. Against Ocean County at 50.5%, 57% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Food insecurity runs 7.8% against 17.8% nationally. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.2/10. Princeton eviction risk's Eviction Lab logged 63 filings here across 6 tracked years. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally.
Filings peaked in 2014 at 4.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 3.1% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.1/10.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 34029711400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029711400?
Census tract 34029711400 in the Bay Head Junction neighborhood scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34029711400?
Median gross rent is $2,076/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34029711400?
4.3% of residents in tract 34029711400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,292.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34029711400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 1th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 8th, household 12th, minority 20th, housing 2th.
Q5
Is tract 34029711400 considered part of Bay Head Junction?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34029711400 fall within Bay Head Junction (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34029711400?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 63 eviction filings across 6 validated years in tract 34029711400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.08% of renter households, peaking at 4.7% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34029711400 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34029711400 compare to Bay Head overall?
Tract 34029711400 scores 4.8/10, right in line with the parent city of Bay Head at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bay Head; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bay Head
Top eight tracts in Bay Head ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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