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Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Waretown Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34029733002 · Ocean County, NJ · pop 3,826 · 10% of tract blocks fall in Waretown

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 34029733002 in Waretown, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,826. 76% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Ocean County average of 50.5%.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9% Stable renters 3% Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units1,641
Renter share11.3%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate7.8%
Median income$99,137

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Waretown
Very High
Within county
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#97 of 144 tracts In Ocean County
Low
Within state
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#1,786 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Waretown and the region

Centroid at 39.7946, -74.2719 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waretown scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Waretown
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
7.8% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,176 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Waretown
6.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Waretown
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Waretown
4.9

How Waretown compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waretown risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.14.1This tracttract 733002Waretown: 4.54.5Waretownparent cityCounty: 5.05.0Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 19

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waretown

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. At $1,176 a month, rents run 33% under what the rest of Waretown commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2/10.

Food insecurity runs 6.7% against 17.8% nationally. It sits 0.9 points below the Ocean County average of 5.0. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.0% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 11% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $99,137, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 1.9 points cooler.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34029733002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34029733002?

Census tract 34029733002 in Waretown scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34029733002?

Median gross rent is $1,176/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34029733002?

7.8% of residents in tract 34029733002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,826.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34029733002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 18th, household 46th, minority 6th, housing 29th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 34029733002 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 34029733002 compare to Waretown overall?

Tract 34029733002 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Waretown at 4.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Waretown; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Waretown

Top eight tracts in Waretown ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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