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Great Notch, New Jersey eviction risk overview
City brief · 4,008 residents

Great Notch, NJ Eviction Risk: HIGH

Passaic County · Population 4,008

In 2026
Risk score
8.3
HIGH

93th percentile, New Jersey.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.7 Average3.6 Now8.3
10 5 1976 · score 2.1 1977 · score 2.1 1978 · score 2.1 1979 · score 2.2 1980 · score 1.9 1981 · score 1.9 1982 · score 2.0 1983 · score 1.9 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.7 1986 · score 1.7 1987 · score 1.7 1988 · score 2.0 1989 · score 2.0 1990 · score 2.1 1991 · score 2.1 1992 · score 2.7 1993 · score 2.7 1994 · score 2.8 1995 · score 2.8 1996 · score 3.4 1997 · score 3.5 1998 · score 3.5 1999 · score 3.6 2000 · score 3.4 2001 · score 3.5 2002 · score 3.6 2003 · score 3.6 2004 · score 3.4 2005 · score 3.5 2006 · score 3.5 2007 · score 3.6 2008 · score 4.2 2009 · score 4.3 2010 · score 4.4 2011 · score 4.4 2012 · score 4.5 2013 · score 4.6 2014 · score 4.7 2015 · score 4.8 2016 · score 4.8 2017 · score 4.9 2018 · score 5.1 2019 · score 5.2 2020 · score 5.8 2021 · score 5.7 2022 · score 5.7 2023 · score 5.7 2024 · score 5.4 2025 · score 6.7 2026 · score 8.3

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 8.0 Regional 8.0 State 6.8 Economic 5.4 Supply 7.0 Rent Control 3.0 Eviction 6.4 Tenant 5.0 Housing 2.5 8.3 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +2.9% (2024)
    8.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    8.0
  3. State political climate
    New Jersey legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    1.4% poverty · 10.4% unemp.
    5.4
  5. Supply constraint
    $2,070 average · 22.7% renters
    7.0
  6. Rent Control risk
    24.8% of income on rent
    3.0
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    177 days filing → judgment
    6.4
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    22.7% renters
    5.0
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    2.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Notch and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Great Notch compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Passaic County
High
#4 of 22 cities
Rank in county, 86th percentileBottomTop
#4 of 22 cities in Passaic County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in New Jersey
Very High
#58 of 696 cities
Rank in state, 92nd percentileBottomTop
#58 of 696 cities in New Jersey for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Great Notch risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Great Notch: 8.38.3Great NotchThis cityCounty: 8.28.2Countyavg in countyState: 7.77.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.25.2U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.3
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 8.3/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+6.2 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 177d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $2,070/mo. A contested eviction takes 177 days and costs $9,243-$23,774 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 22.7%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 4,008 residents, 22.7% rent. 25% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 1.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 8
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Strong-tenant coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 8 and 8 (GOP margin +2.9% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.4, housing court bias 2.5, rent-control risk 3. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.4 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.4
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.4. Supply constraint: 7. The numbers behind those: 1.4% poverty, 10.4% unemployment, 25% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Great Notch sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Newark, NJ · 165d · ~$16.3k all-in ($99/day) · score 9 Newark Jersey City, NJ · 163d · ~$18.6k all-in ($114/day) · score 9.3 Jersey City Paterson, NJ · 185d · ~$17.8k all-in ($96/day) · score 8.6 Paterson Elizabeth, NJ · 165d · ~$16.5k all-in ($100/day) · score 8.4 Elizabeth Clifton, NJ · 170d · ~$19.3k all-in ($114/day) · score 8 Clifton Bayonne, NJ · 180d · ~$17.2k all-in ($95/day) · score 8.3 Bayonne East Orange, NJ · 195d · ~$15.6k all-in ($80/day) · score 9.2 East Orange Passaic, NJ · 177d · ~$17.7k all-in ($100/day) · score 8.6 Passaic Union City, NJ · 179d · ~$17.7k all-in ($99/day) · score 9 Union City Hoboken, NJ · 195d · ~$15.5k all-in ($80/day) · score 7.7 Hoboken Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.9 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.6 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 5.5 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 6.8 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.3 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 6.2 Seattle Great Notch
Great Notch · 177d · ~$16.5k all-in ($93/day) · score 8.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0-4   4-7   7-10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Great Notch, NJ

Landlording in Great Notch, New Jersey, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.3/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Great Notch is a city of 4,008 residents where 22.7% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 24.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $2,070/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Great Notch eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.4/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Great Notch closes 177 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Great Notch's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 2.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Great Notch runs $9,243 to $23,774 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1-2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 177 days of typical timeline and $2,070/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 5/10 in Great Notch, and the city has limited rent control exposure (3/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In New Jersey, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Great Notch: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match New Jersey's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $23,774 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Great Notch

Trap · 55.4 POINTS
Politically, Essex County voted Democratic by 55.4 points in 2020, a baseline that correlates with tenant-protective legislative pressure. Combined with 24.8% rent-to-income ratio, expect active enforcement of NJSA 2A:18-61.1 Anti-Eviction Act.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is the maximum late fee I can charge in Great Notch?

New Jersey law doesn't explicitly cap late fees for residential leases, but they must be "reasonable." Generally, 5% of the monthly rent is considered acceptable. Anything significantly higher might be challenged in court as an unenforceable penalty.

Q2

Can I increase rent in Great Notch?

Great Notch does not have local rent control. However, New Jersey has statewide rent control rules that apply to some municipalities. Always check for any local ordinances in Great Notch or Essex County, but generally, you can increase rent with proper notice (usually 30 days for month-to-month leases, or at the end of a fixed-term lease).

Q3

Do I need a lawyer for an eviction in New Jersey?

While not legally required, it is highly recommended. Given the complexity of New Jersey's Anti-Eviction Act, just-cause requirements, and strict notice rules, an attorney significantly increases your chances of a successful and timely eviction. Representing yourself can lead to costly mistakes and delays, especially with a 6.7/10 eviction risk score.

Q4

What if my tenant claims a habitability issue to avoid paying rent?

Tenants in New Jersey have a right to a habitable living space. If a tenant genuinely has a major repair issue that you haven't addressed, they might have a defense for withholding rent, often by placing it in an escrow account. Address legitimate repair requests promptly and document all communication and repairs. This prevents tenants from using habitability as an excuse in court.

Q5

Can I deny a tenant application because they receive Section 8?

No. New Jersey has statewide source-of-income protection. You cannot deny an applicant solely because they use a Section 8 voucher or other lawful forms of income. You must apply your screening criteria consistently to all applicants, regardless of their income source.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.3/10 places Great Notch in the 93rd percentile of New Jersey cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.