Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #41,206 of 84,120 nationally
Pines Lake Eviction Risk: Moderate , Preakness
Tract 34031246003 · Passaic County, NJ · pop 6,227 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi
34031246003 is a census tract in the Pines Lake area of Preakness, NJ. It scores 4.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 6,227 residents. 10% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Passaic County average of 49.2%.
Risk score
4.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%
Stable renters 11%
Owners 88%
Tract context
Occupied units2,156
Renter share12.5%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate1.9%
Median income$190,128
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
80
th percentile
High
Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
24
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Preakness and the region
Centroid at 40.9770, -74.2610 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pines Lake scores 4.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Preakness
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Preakness
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Preakness
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Preakness
4.5
How Pines Lake compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 8
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 11%Socioeconomic
- 10%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 17%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 40Total filings over 5 yrs
- 8.38%Avg annual filing rate
- 11.3%Peak (2013)
- 8Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 27% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.9%Housing insecurity
- 3.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.6%Food insecurity
- 3.3%SNAP enrollment
- 4.1%Transit barriers
- 6.4%No health insurance
- 12.5%Frequent mental distress
- 19.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pines Lake
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 83% above the Preakness average. The voucher gap is 69.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 9.1/10. Against the Passaic County average of 6.7, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.2 points.
On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. Court records carry 40 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
Housing insecurity runs 6.9% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. The worst year on record was 2013, when 11.3% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 8.4% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 51% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 34031246003
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34031246003?
Census tract 34031246003 in the Pines Lake neighborhood scores 4.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 34031246003?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 10% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 34031246003?
1.9% of residents in tract 34031246003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,227.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 34031246003?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 10th, minority 41th, housing 17th.
Q5
Is tract 34031246003 considered part of Pines Lake?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34031246003 fall within Pines Lake (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34031246003?
Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 40 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 34031246003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.38% of renter households, peaking at 11.3% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 34031246003 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 34031246003 compare to Preakness overall?
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Preakness
Top eight tracts in Preakness ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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