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Census Tract · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally

Great Notch Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 34031154004 · Passaic County, NJ · pop 2,504 · 75% of tract blocks fall in Great Notch

Census tract 34031154004 covers part of Great Notch, NJ, and scores 3.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,504. It sits 3.2 points below the Passaic County average of 6.7.

Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 12% Owners 74%
Tract context
Occupied units437
Renter share25.4%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate4.9%
Median income$112,634

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Great Notch
Very Low
Within county
13 th percentile
Rank, 13th percentileLowHigh
#105 of 120 tracts In Passaic County
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#1,971 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Very Low
National
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#57,812 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Great Notch and the region

Centroid at 40.8683, -74.1994 · click any tract to drill in

Why Great Notch scores 3.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Great Notch
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
4.9% poverty · this tract
1.2
Supply constraint
$2,330 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Great Notch
3.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Great Notch
5.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Great Notch
2.5

How Great Notch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Great Notch risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.53.5This tracttract 154004Great Notch: 4.94.9Great Notchparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 6.06.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 6

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Great Notch

The score leans hardest on court filing pressure at 9.1/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.2/10. Running hot, local political climate reads 8/10.

Severe burden reaches 14%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. SNAP participation runs 4.8% against 15.2% nationally. Against Passaic County at 49.2%, 54% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Average gross rent is $2,330, 13% above the Great Notch average. The voucher gap is 12.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Essex Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 31st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.6/10. Statewide the NJ average is 6.0, so this tract runs 2.5 points cooler.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 34031154004

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34031154004?

Census tract 34031154004 in Great Notch scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34031154004?

Median gross rent is $2,330/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34031154004?

4.9% of residents in tract 34031154004 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,504.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34031154004?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 2th, minority 46th, housing 30th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 34031154004 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 34031154004 compare to Great Notch overall?

Tract 34031154004 scores 3.5/10, lower than the parent city of Great Notch at 4.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Great Notch; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 34031154004 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Great Notch

Top eight tracts in Great Notch ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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