Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 34039032702 Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 34039032702 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,330

Tract 34039032702, home to 5,330 residents in Union, scores 5.4/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than about 53% of US census tracts.

About 13% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,793 monthly, set against $94,773 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 10% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 9% Owners 90%

Tract context

Occupied units1,718

Renter share10.0%

SVI overall0.44

Poverty rate5.4%

Median income$94,773

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Union County and the region

Centroid at 40.7097, -74.2684 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 34039032702 scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

State baseline

6.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

5.4% poverty · this tract

1.4

Supply constraint

$1,793 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

State baseline

6.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

State baseline

4.0

Housing court bias

State baseline

5.0

How Tract 34039032702 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

40%Socioeconomic
55%Household composition
83%Racial/ethnic minority
28%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
52%Grade B
7%Grade C
7%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

16.3%Housing insecurity
9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
17.9%Food insecurity
10.4%SNAP enrollment
9.1%Transit barriers
11.5%No health insurance
15.3%Frequent mental distress
25.3%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 34039032702

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New Jersey eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Union County average of 6.6 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 16.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Part of this tract, about 7% of its area, sat in the redlined grade-D zone on 1930s HOLC maps, though its dominant grade was B ("Still Desirable"). That lending history still correlates with present-day rent burden.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039032702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039032702?

Census tract 34039032702 in Union County scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34039032702?

Median gross rent is $1,793/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 13% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039032702?

5.4% of residents in tract 34039032702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,330.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039032702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 55th, minority 83th, housing 28th.

What share of households in tract 34039032702 struggle to pay rent?

About 16.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Was tract 34039032702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 7% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.