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Census Tract · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Tract 34039036301 Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 34039036301 · Union County, NJ · pop 5,521

For landlords sizing up Union, census tract 34039036301 carries an elevated eviction-risk score of 6.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 87% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 50% of renter households, a severe level, and 27% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,846 monthly, set against $83,566 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 40% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.6
Lower
Confidence 80% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 20% Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units2,179
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.44
Poverty rate1.7%
Median income$83,566

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within county
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#78 of 120 tracts In Union County
Low
Within state
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#1,113 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
National
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#48,083 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union County and the region

Centroid at 40.6255, -74.3120 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tract 34039036301 scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
State baseline
6.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
1.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,846 rent vs county FMR
3.6
Rent control risk
State baseline
6.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0

How Tract 34039036301 compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tract 34039036301 risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.63.6This tracttract 036301County: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 44

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 502Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 14.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 19.9%Peak (2018)
  • 184Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390363012013: 173 filings (22.24/100 renter HHs)2016: 71 filings (7.67/100 renter HHs)2017: 74 filings (7.99/100 renter HHs)2018: 184 filings (19.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tract 34039036301

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 6.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are set by New Jersey eviction laws law, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039036301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039036301?

Census tract 34039036301 in Union County scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039036301?

Median gross rent is $1,846/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039036301?

1.7% of residents in tract 34039036301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,521.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039036301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 44th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 54th, minority 31th, housing 73th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039036301?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 502 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039036301 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 14.44% of renter households, peaking at 19.9% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 34039036301 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

Was tract 34039036301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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