Census Tract · Ranked #19,618 of 84,120 nationally

Kean University Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34039033502 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,468 · 10% of tract blocks fall in Kean University

Tract 34039033502 sits in Kean University, NJ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. 35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

5.9

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 29% Stable renters 25% Owners 46%

Tract context

Occupied units1,530

Renter share54.0%

SVI overall0.23

Poverty rate7.8%

Median income$125,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Kean University and the region

Centroid at 40.6770, -74.2393 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kean University scores 5.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Kean University

7.1

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.8

State political climate

New Jersey legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

7.8% poverty · this tract

2.0

Supply constraint

$2,403 rent vs county FMR

6.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Kean University

5.8

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Kean University

3.3

Housing court bias

Inherited from Kean University

4.9

How Kean University compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 23

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

16%Socioeconomic
7%Household composition
77%Racial/ethnic minority
52%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

1%Grade A
11%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.8%Housing insecurity
6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
13.7%Food insecurity
6.7%SNAP enrollment
8.5%Transit barriers
10.1%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
21.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kean University

The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10. Cost burden runs 54% here against 44.6% across Union County. On the softer side, economic stress reads 2/10.

SNAP participation runs 6.7% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, local political climate reads 7.1/10.

Average gross rent is $2,403, 14% above the Kean University average. It sits 0.7 points below the Union County average of 6.6. The voucher gap is 12.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 77% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039033502

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039033502?

Census tract 34039033502 in Kean University scores 5.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 34039033502?

Median gross rent is $2,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039033502?

7.8% of residents in tract 34039033502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,468.

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039033502?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 23th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 7th, minority 77th, housing 52th.

What share of households in tract 34039033502 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 34039033502 compare to Kean University overall?

Tract 34039033502 scores 5.9/10, lower than the parent city of Kean University at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kean University; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 34039033502 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kean University

Top eight tracts in Kean University ranked by composite eviction-risk score.