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Census Tract · Ranked #23,808 of 84,120 nationally

Cranford Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 34039037100 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,458 · 5% of tract blocks fall in Cranford

With a score of 5.5/10, tract 34039037100 in Cranford, NJ reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,458 residents. Against Union County at 44.6%, 16% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 4% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,447
Renter share4.2%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$247,228

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Cranford
Moderate
Within county
31 th percentile
Rank, 31st percentileLowHigh
#83 of 120 tracts In Union County
Low
Within state
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#1,150 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Moderate
National
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#23,808 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cranford and the region

Centroid at 40.6657, -74.3174 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cranford scores 5.5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cranford
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$994 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cranford
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cranford
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cranford
4.4

How Cranford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cranford risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.5This tracttract 0371006.9Cranfordparent city6.6Countyavg tract in county6.0Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cranford

At $994 a month, rents run 60% under what the rest of Cranford commands. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Disability prevalence runs 17.5% against 31.5% nationally. Food insecurity runs 5.0% against 17.8% nationally.

It sits 1.1 points below the Union County average of 6.6. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Union Co. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #23,808 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 4% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 5% of average household income of $247,228, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039037100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039037100?

Census tract 34039037100 in Cranford scores 5.5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039037100?

Median gross rent is $994/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039037100?

2.2% of residents in tract 34039037100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,458.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039037100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 23th, minority 8th, housing 11th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 34039037100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 34039037100 compare to Cranford overall?

Tract 34039037100 scores 5.5/10, lower than the parent city of Cranford at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cranford; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 34039037100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cranford

Top eight tracts in Cranford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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