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Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally

Cranford Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 34039037100 · Union County, NJ · pop 4,458 · 5% of tract blocks fall in Cranford

In Cranford, census tract 34039037100 scores 5.7/10 for eviction risk. On the national scale it ranks #30,126 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

16% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $994 monthly, set against $247,228 in average yearly household income, roughly 5% of income at the averages. About 4% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 4% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units1,447
Renter share4.2%
SVI overall0.04
Poverty rate2.2%
Median income$247,228

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Cranford
Moderate
Within county
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#90 of 120 tracts In Union County
Low
Within state
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#1,438 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
National
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#61,757 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Cranford and the region

Centroid at 40.6657, -74.3174 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cranford scores 2.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Cranford
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$994 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Cranford
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Cranford
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Cranford
4.4

How Cranford compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cranford risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.82.8This tracttract 037100Cranford: 7.47.4Cranfordparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 4

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cranford

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Cranford, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Union County average of 6.6 and below the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 5.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of B ("Still Desirable"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039037100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039037100?

Census tract 34039037100 in Cranford scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039037100?

Median gross rent is $994/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 16% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039037100?

2.2% of residents in tract 34039037100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,458.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039037100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 4th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 23th, minority 8th, housing 11th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 34039037100 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 34039037100 compare to Cranford overall?

Tract 34039037100 scores 2.8/10, lower than the parent city of Cranford at 7.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Cranford; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 34039037100 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Cranford

Top eight tracts in Cranford ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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