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Neighborhood · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Park Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Roselle

Tract 34039037000 · Union County, NJ · pop 6,052 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

With a score of 6.8/10, tract 34039037000 in the Park Village neighborhood of Roselle ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,052 residents. That is riskier than about 92% of US census tracts.

About 74% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,898 monthly, set against $136,178 in average yearly household income, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 4% Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units2,629
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$136,178

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Park Village
Low
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Roselle
Very Low
Within county
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#100 of 120 tracts In Union County
Very Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,483 of 2,175 tracts In New Jersey
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Roselle and the region

Centroid at 40.6645, -74.2959 · click any tract to drill in

Why Park Village scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Roselle
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
New Jersey legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,898 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Roselle
6.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Roselle
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Roselle
4.4

How Park Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Park Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 037000Roselle: 7.97.9Roselleparent cityCounty: 4.74.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.34.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 22Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 3.21%Avg annual filing rate
  • 4.0%Peak (2013)
  • 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2013 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 340390370002013: 9 filings (3.98/100 renter HHs)2016: 4 filings (2.72/100 renter HHs)2017: 7 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2018: 2 filings (1.36/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 78% over the past 4 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Park Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Park Village

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Roselle eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Union County average of 6.6 and in line with the New Jersey statewide average of 6.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 34039037000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 34039037000?

Census tract 34039037000 in the Park Village neighborhood scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 34039037000?

Median gross rent is $1,898/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 34039037000?

2.1% of residents in tract 34039037000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,052.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 34039037000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 60th, minority 26th, housing 43th.
Q5

Is tract 34039037000 considered part of Park Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 34039037000 fall within Park Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 34039037000?

Princeton eviction risk Eviction Lab recorded 22 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 34039037000 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.21% of renter households, peaking at 4.0% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 34039037000 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 34039037000 compare to Roselle overall?

Tract 34039037000 scores 2.7/10, lower than the parent city of Roselle at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Roselle eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 34039037000 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Roselle

Top eight tracts in Roselle ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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