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Neighborhood · Albuquerque, NM

Arenal Eviction Risk: Moderate

5 census tracts · pop 18,029 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.9/10 · range 3–5.7

Arenal spans 5 census tracts of Albuquerque, NM, population 18,029. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 4.9/10, in the Moderate tier. Cost burden runs 51% against 31.4% citywide, putting Arenal 19.3% over its own city.

31% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The 5 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 3 to 5.7, a 2.7-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The main counterweight is supply constraint, at 2.8/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. Court records carry 1,702 eviction filings across its 4 observed tracts.

14.5% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, against a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filing activity peaked in 2009 at 130.4% of renter households. Average gross rent is $1,036, 10% below the Albuquerque average of $1,145.

The most recent observed rate, 11.6% in 2014, is well off that peak. Among the 40 mapped neighborhoods of Albuquerque, it ranks #15 by risk, the middle third. Only 17% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 4.9 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
5 tracts · population-weighted
Arenal vs Albuquerque How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
50.7% +61%
Albuquerque: 31.4%
Average gross rent
$1,036 -10%
Albuquerque: $1,145
Average HH income
$61,547 -6%
Albuquerque: $65,604
Poverty rate
19.0% +19%
Albuquerque: 16.0%
Renter share
16.5% -57%
Albuquerque: 38.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arenal and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 3–5.7

Why Arenal scores 4.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 3.9–3.9 across tracts
3.9
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.6–7.0 across tracts
6.9
Rent control risk
51% of income on rent · Range 4.0–6.4 across tracts
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.6–5.5 across tracts
4.8
Tenant organizing strength
17% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.0–7.1 across tracts
5.8
Economic stress
19.0% below poverty line · Range 1.0–6.2 across tracts
4.9
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.3–5.9 across tracts
2.8
Risk score comparison

Arenal vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arenal score vs. parent city, state, U.S.4.9ArenalNeighborhood4.3Parent cityhost city4.1Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Arenal?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.7 points from 3 to 5.7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Arenal

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
35001004734 5.7 6,873 74% $1,044
35001004401 5.4 3,146 59% $1,000
35001004735 5.1 1,873 28% $1,451
35001004402 4.3 3,580 35% $837
35001004761 3 2,557 18% $1,030
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 75

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 75%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 77%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 92%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 47%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Arenal

Aggregated across 4 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 1,702Total filings (sum)
  • 21.15%Avg annual filing rate
  • 130.4%Peak year (2009)
  • 14.67%Latest filed (2014)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 346Total filings 2020-21
  • 1.3Avg monthly observed
  • 2.1Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.75×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Albuquerque, NM).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arenal

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arenal

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arenal?

Arenal scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arenal compare to Albuquerque overall?

Arenal scores 0.6 points higher than Albuquerque overall (4.3/10). Renters spend 51% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,036 vs $1,145.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arenal?

Average gross rent in Arenal is $1,036/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arenal residents are renters?

17% of Arenal households are renter-occupied (vs 38% in Albuquerque). The neighborhood has 18,029 residents.
Q5

Is Arenal a high social-vulnerability area?

Arenal sits in the 75th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Arenal have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arenal is census tract 35001004734 (score 5.7/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.7, a spread of 2.7 points.
Q7

How safe is Arenal for landlords?

Arenal carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.9/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Albuquerque as a whole (4.3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arenal?

Arenal has 17,236 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (86.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (10.2%), Black (non-Hispanic) (1.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arenal

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Albuquerque

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arenal.

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