Cheektowaga Eviction Risk: Elevated

The poverty rate is 26%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 2.6/10.

SNAP participation runs 26.8% against 15.2% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

At $899 a month, rents run 15% under what the rest of Cheektowaga commands. It sits 0.8 points above the Erie County average of 6.8. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #9,927 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 45% of renters. Annual rent works out to 22% of average household income of $49,500.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.