Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Kensington Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029010202 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,975 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 7/10, tract 36029010202 in the Kensington area of Cheektowaga, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,975 residents. 40% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 16% Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,501
Renter share33.6%
SVI overall0.48
Poverty rate16.6%
Median income$60,052

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
20 th percentile
Rank, 20th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 11 tracts In Kensington
Low
Within parent city
91 th percentile
Rank, 91st percentileLowHigh
#3 of 23 tracts In Buffalo
Very High
Within county
60 th percentile
Rank, 60th percentileLowHigh
#104 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
38 th percentile
Rank, 38th percentileLowHigh
#3,356 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9318, -78.7920 · click any tract to drill in

Why Kensington scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
16.6% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$1,043 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
5.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
6.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
5.4

How Kensington compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Kensington risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.0This tracttract 0102027.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 48

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Kensington. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Kensington

Cost burden runs 53% here against 44.6% across Erie County. The score leans hardest on state political climate at 7.3/10.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Cheektowaga eviction risk as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.3/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,043, close to the Cheektowaga average. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $60,052.

34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029010202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029010202?

Census tract 36029010202 in the Kensington neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029010202?

Median gross rent is $1,043/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029010202?

16.6% of residents in tract 36029010202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,975.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029010202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 48th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 7th, minority 75th, housing 76th.
Q5

Is tract 36029010202 considered part of Kensington?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029010202 fall within Kensington (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029010202 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029010202 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029010202 scores 7/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029010202 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related