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Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

East Aurora Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36029013900 · Erie County, NY · pop 2,337 · 96% of tract blocks fall in East Aurora

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 36029013900 in East Aurora, NY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Erie County average of 44.6%.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 17% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,014
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate3.0%
Median income$93,026

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In East Aurora
Moderate
Within county
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#222 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Very Low
Within state
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#4,961 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Very Low
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Aurora and the region

Centroid at 42.7617, -78.6164 · click any tract to drill in

Why East Aurora scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Aurora
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
3.0% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$979 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Aurora
3.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Aurora
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Aurora
3.0

How East Aurora compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
East Aurora risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0139006.1East Auroraparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in East Aurora

Pulling hardest the other way is economic stress at 1/10. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 2.0 points.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Average gross rent is $979, 18% below the East Aurora average.

SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally.

On the softer side, housing-court posture reads 3/10. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 22% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 2.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 13% of average household income of $93,026, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.9 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029013900

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029013900?

Census tract 36029013900 in East Aurora scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029013900?

Median gross rent is $979/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029013900?

3.0% of residents in tract 36029013900 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,337.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029013900?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 7th, household 48th, minority 5th, housing 25th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029013900 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029013900 compare to East Aurora overall?

Tract 36029013900 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of East Aurora at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Aurora; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Aurora

Top eight tracts in East Aurora ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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