Census Tract · Ranked #28,017 of 84,120 nationally

Tonawanda Town Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 36029007902 · Erie County, NY · pop 6,704

With a score of 5.6/10, tract 36029007902 in Tonawanda Town in Erie County ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 6,704 residents. That is riskier than about 60% of US census tracts.

About 45% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 16% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,130 a month while the average household earns $90,194 a year, roughly 15% of income at the averages. About 15% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 8% Owners 85%

Tract context

Occupied units2,927

Renter share15.2%

SVI overall0.12

Poverty rate6.3%

Median income$90,194

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tonawanda Town and the region

Centroid at 42.9967, -78.8393 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tonawanda Town scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

6.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.7

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

6.3% poverty · this tract

1.6

Supply constraint

$1,130 rent vs county FMR

4.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

5.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

7.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

2.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tonawanda Town

4.1

How Tonawanda Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

13%Socioeconomic
25%Household composition
27%Racial/ethnic minority
21%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.8%Housing insecurity
5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
9.3%Food insecurity
8.2%SNAP enrollment
5.7%Transit barriers
4.6%No health insurance
15.0%Frequent mental distress
24.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tonawanda Town

The heaviest input here is eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tonawanda Town eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Erie County average of 6.1 and below the New York statewide average of 6.3. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 12th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029007902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029007902?

Census tract 36029007902 in Tonawanda Town scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36029007902?

Median gross rent is $1,130/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029007902?

6.3% of residents in tract 36029007902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,704.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029007902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 25th, minority 27th, housing 21th.

What share of households in tract 36029007902 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36029007902 compare to Tonawanda Town overall?

Tract 36029007902 scores 4.8/10, lower than the parent city of Tonawanda Town at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tonawanda Town eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tonawanda Town

Top eight tracts in Tonawanda Town ranked by composite eviction-risk score.