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Census Tract · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Eggertsville Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 36029009401 · Erie County, NY · pop 6,057 · 70% of tract blocks fall in Eggertsville

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 36029009401 in Eggertsville, NY reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 6,057. The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 18% Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,261
Renter share34.9%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate16.0%
Median income$83,836

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Eggertsville
Elevated
Within county
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#143 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Moderate
Within state
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#3,908 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
National
79 th percentile
Rank, 79th percentileLowHigh
#17,650 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Eggertsville and the region

Centroid at 42.9702, -78.7964 · click any tract to drill in

Why Eggertsville scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Eggertsville
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
16.0% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,146 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Eggertsville
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Eggertsville
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Eggertsville
4.8

How Eggertsville compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Eggertsville risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0094015.9Eggertsvilleparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 51

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Eggertsville

Average gross rent is $1,146, 29% above the Eggertsville average. The dominant input is state political climate at 7.3/10.

roughly one in two of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Erie County average of 44.6%. Food insecurity runs 9.5% against 17.8% nationally.

Adults with no health insurance runs 4.1% against 11.3% nationally. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Buffalo. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

The legal-climate inputs (statute speed, court posture, rent-regulation exposure) come from Eggertsville as a whole. Only the economic and supply signals are measured inside this tract. Social vulnerability reads 5.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $83,836, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029009401

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009401?

Census tract 36029009401 in Eggertsville scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029009401?

Median gross rent is $1,146/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009401?

16.0% of residents in tract 36029009401 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,057.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009401?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 44th, household 44th, minority 41th, housing 66th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 36029009401 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 36029009401 compare to Eggertsville overall?

Tract 36029009401 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Eggertsville at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Eggertsville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 36029009401 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Eggertsville

Top eight tracts in Eggertsville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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