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Neighborhood · Ranked #14,308 of 84,120 nationally

University Heights Eviction Risk: Elevated , Buffalo

Tract 36029009301 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,824 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 36029009301 covers part of the University Heights area of Eggertsville, NY, and scores 6.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,824. The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 28% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units2,403
Renter share45.1%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate13.6%
Median income$48,884

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 5 tracts In University Heights
Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 4 tracts In Buffalo
Very High
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 260 tracts In Erie County
Elevated
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#3,504 of 5,394 tracts In New York
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Buffalo and the region

Centroid at 42.9693, -78.8187 · click any tract to drill in

Why University Heights scores 6.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Buffalo
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
13.6% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$638 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Buffalo
4.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Buffalo
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Buffalo
4.8

How University Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
University Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.7This tracttract 0093017.9Buffaloparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within University Heights. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in University Heights

At $638 a month, rents run 28% under what the rest of Eggertsville commands. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10.

39% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Erie County average of 44.6%. 9% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 83% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Against average income of $48,884, annual rent is just 16%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. It tracks the Erie County average of 6.8 closely.

45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 36029009301

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029009301?

Census tract 36029009301 in the University Heights neighborhood scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 36029009301?

Median gross rent is $638/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 36029009301?

13.6% of residents in tract 36029009301 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,824.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 36029009301?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 43th, household 56th, minority 56th, housing 65th.
Q5

Is tract 36029009301 considered part of University Heights?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36029009301 fall within University Heights (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 36029009301 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 36029009301 compare to Buffalo overall?

Tract 36029009301 scores 6.7/10, lower than the parent city of Buffalo at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Buffalo eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 36029009301 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Buffalo

Top eight tracts in Buffalo ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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