Harris Hill Eviction Risk: Moderate

What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 73.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

It sits 1.9 points below the Erie County average of 6.8. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.6/10. Average gross rent is $2,044, 18% above the Harris Hill average.

Running hot, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 6.5% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 59th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

Social vulnerability reads 3.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.8 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.