Lancaster Eviction Risk: Moderate

It sits 1.8 points below the Erie County average of 6.8. 54% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Erie County average of 44.6%.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.8/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.6% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Against average income of $72,397, annual rent is just 15%.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.7 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.