Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Lancaster Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 36029014400 · Erie County, NY · pop 4,316
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 36029014400 in Lancaster, NY reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. 30% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly below the Erie County average of 44.6%.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 24%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units2,255
Renter share34.3%
SVI overall0.32
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$61,270
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
20
th percentile
Low
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lancaster and the region
Centroid at 42.9078, -78.6689 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lancaster scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lancaster
6.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.7
State political climate
New York legislature & governorship
7.3
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$723 rent vs county FMR
1.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lancaster
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lancaster
5.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lancaster
3.7
How Lancaster compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 32
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 15%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.0%Housing insecurity
- 6.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.8%Food insecurity
- 10.7%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 5.8%No health insurance
- 17.2%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lancaster
The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Average gross rent is $723, 25% below the Lancaster average.
The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Erie County average of 6.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.1 points. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10.
That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Against average income of $61,270, annual rent is just 14%. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.0 points cooler.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 34% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 36029014400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36029014400?
Census tract 36029014400 in Lancaster scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 36029014400?
Median gross rent is $723/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 30% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 36029014400?
7.1% of residents in tract 36029014400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,316.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 36029014400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 32th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 15th, minority 5th, housing 89th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 36029014400 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 36029014400 compare to Lancaster overall?
Tract 36029014400 scores 5.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Lancaster at 5.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lancaster; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lancaster
Top eight tracts in Lancaster ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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