Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Todt Hill Eviction Risk: High , New York

Tract 36085017702 · Richmond County, NY · pop 2,381 · neighborhood within 0.0 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 36085017702 in the Todt Hill area of New York, NY reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,381 residents. 44% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 70% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 8% Owners 78%

Tract context

Occupied units942

Renter share21.7%

SVI overall0.15

Poverty rate20.6%

Median income$116,073

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across New York and the region

Centroid at 40.5982, -74.0973 · click any tract to drill in

Why Todt Hill scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from New York

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.0

State political climate

New York legislature & governorship

7.3

Economic stress

20.6% poverty · this tract

5.1

Supply constraint

$1,903 rent vs county FMR

5.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from New York

6.9

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from New York

9.8

Housing court bias

Inherited from New York

7.1

How Todt Hill compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 15

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

30%Socioeconomic
18%Household composition
24%Racial/ethnic minority
15%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
45%Grade B
54%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Todt Hill. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.4%Housing insecurity
6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
12.2%Food insecurity
10.7%SNAP enrollment
6.7%Transit barriers
5.2%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
28.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Todt Hill

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.8/10. Against Richmond County at 50.1%, roughly two in three of renters here are cost-burdened. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, state political climate reads 7.3/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Staten Island. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.4/10. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Richmond County average of 9.3 closely.

Average gross rent is $1,903, close to the New York average. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $116,073.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 36085017702

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 36085017702?

Census tract 36085017702 in the Todt Hill neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 36085017702?

Median gross rent is $1,903/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 36085017702?

20.6% of residents in tract 36085017702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,381.

How socially vulnerable is tract 36085017702?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 15th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 30th, household 18th, minority 24th, housing 15th.

Is tract 36085017702 considered part of Todt Hill?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 36085017702 fall within Todt Hill (neighborhood centroid within 0.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 36085017702 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 36085017702 compare to New York overall?

Tract 36085017702 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of New York at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New York eviction laws; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 36085017702 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in New York

Top eight tracts in New York ranked by composite eviction-risk score.