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Neighborhood · East Rochester, NY

Forest Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 6,243 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.1/10 · range 4.5–6

Forest Hills spans 2 census tracts of East Rochester, NY, population 6,243. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 5.1/10, in the Moderate tier. 38% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, well above the East Rochester rate of 24.1%.

At $1,507 a month, rents sit 33% over what the rest of East Rochester commands. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1.4/10. The severe-burden share is 22%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 4.5 to 6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. Food insecurity affects 8.3% of adults, 9.5 points below the national rate.

4.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Rent takes 18% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 5%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

28% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Forest Hills vs East Rochester How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
37.7% +56%
East Rochester: 24.1%
Average gross rent
$1,507 +33%
East Rochester: $1,132
Average HH income
$99,346 +38%
East Rochester: $72,036
Poverty rate
5.3% -42%
East Rochester: 9.1%
Renter share
28.4% -27%
East Rochester: 38.9%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Forest Hills and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 4.5–6

Why Forest Hills scores 5.1

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 7.3–7.3 across tracts
7.3
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.4–6.4 across tracts
6.4
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 3.7–4.1 across tracts
3.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
28% renter households · Range 5.4–7.6 across tracts
6.3
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 3.1–4.3 across tracts
3.6
Economic stress
5.3% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.9 across tracts
1.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.8–7.3 across tracts
5.5
Risk score comparison

Forest Hills vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Forest Hills score vs. parent city, state, U.S.5.1Forest HillsNeighborhood6.4Parent cityhost city8.3Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Forest Hills

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
36055012000 6 2,477 30% $1,120
36055012202 4.5 3,766 42% $1,762
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 38

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 47%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 25%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Forest Hills

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Forest Hills

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Forest Hills?

Forest Hills scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Forest Hills compare to East Rochester overall?

Forest Hills scores 1.3 points lower than East Rochester overall (6.4/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,507 vs $1,132.
Q3

What is the average rent in Forest Hills?

Average gross rent in Forest Hills is $1,507/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Forest Hills residents are renters?

28% of Forest Hills households are renter-occupied (vs 39% in East Rochester). The neighborhood has 6,243 residents.
Q5

Is Forest Hills a high social-vulnerability area?

Forest Hills sits in the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Forest Hills have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Forest Hills is census tract 36055012000 (score 6/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.5 to 6, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Forest Hills for landlords?

Forest Hills carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to East Rochester as a whole (6.4/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Forest Hills?

Forest Hills has 6,266 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (84.7%), Black (non-Hispanic) (7.2%), Hispanic / Latino (3.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Forest Hills

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside East Rochester

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Forest Hills.

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