Hempstead Eviction Risk: High

34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.

SNAP participation runs 29.5% against 15.2% nationally. Against Nassau County at 44.5%, 53% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10. The poverty rate is 19%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 16.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 2.2 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,634, close to the Hempstead average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.