Salt Springs Eviction Risk: High , Syracuse

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1.8/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. SNAP participation runs 29.5% against 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, state political climate reads 7.3/10. Housing insecurity runs 24.7% against 14.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs 49% here against 43.5% across Onondaga County. Running hot, local political climate reads 7/10.

At $903 a month, rents run 13% under what the rest of Syracuse commands. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Syracuse. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the NY average is 7.7, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.